Posted on: December 16, 2022, 12:33h.
Final up to date on: December 16, 2022, 12:33h.
The Buffalo Payments want to do two issues on Saturday: Avenge considered one of their three losses, and keep on monitor for a potential No. 1 seed within the NFL playoffs.
However greater than something, they wish to present that final week’s offensive slog within the slush and snow towards the New York Jets was an outlier efficiency, not their norm. For a group that may use winter climate as a postseason weapon, that’s of the utmost significance.
A gradual snow is predicted to fall by means of the day and into the evening Saturday (3 to 7 inches), with an 18-degree wind chill, because the Payments play the visiting Miami Dolphins, who defeated them 21-19 in September in what’s remembered because the “butt punt” sport. What’s much less memorable was the clock working out on Josh Allen as he tried to spike the ball after the Payments had gained 12 yards on a go with 18 seconds remaining. Receiver Isaiah McKenzie was unable to get out of bounds, and Allen was unable to spike the ball earlier than the clock hit 0:00.
And it was sizzling, which it won’t be Saturday evening in Buffalo.
What an ending to the Payments-Dolphins sport! #BUFvsMIA pic.twitter.com/yjlc3H0wUi
— NFL (@NFL) September 25, 2022
What’s at Stake? What’s The Greatest Participant Matchup?
The Payments (10-3) can win out and earn a bye week as a result of they’ve the tiebreaker over Kansas Metropolis from successful their head-to-head matchup again in Week 6. They’re taking a four-game successful streak into Saturday evening’s sport, and are favored by 7, with DraftKings reporting that 75% of the unfold deal with and 83% of the moneyline deal with is coming in on the Payments, with a digital 50-50 break up on the over/underneath of 44.
Buffalo didn’t cowl the 10-point unfold towards the Jets final Sunday in a slog of a sport in dangerous climate that featured the primary 10 possessions ending in punts. Josh Allen was held to 147 passing yards and Stefon Diggs had solely 37 receiving yards, each season-lows for these two former prime contenders for MVP and Offensive Participant of the 12 months. Allen has dropped to the +2000 fourth alternative for MVP behind Jalen Hurts, Patrick Mahomes and Joe Burrow, whereas Diggs is the +350 third alternative behind Minnesota’s Justin Jefferson and Miami’s Tyreke Hill.
And sure, Diggs vs. Hill is likely one of the sideshows for everybody to most look ahead to. Hill has a 76 1/2 yards over/underneath line, whereas Diggs’ line is 72 1/2. Diggs has gone over that quantity in 10 of 13 video games, whereas Hills has gone for 77 or extra receiving yards in 9 of 13 video games. The Payments held him to 2 receptions for simply 33 yards of their first assembly, as Jaylen Waddle was Tua Tagvovailoa’s goal on six of 20 throws.
Tua vs. Josh is a pleasant sideshow, too, with the passing yardage over/underneath for each QBs at 236 1/2. Of their first matchup, Tagovailoa had concussion signs and was 13-of-18 for 186 yards, whereas Allen threw the ball 63 instances (not a typo) for 400 yards, however was intercepted twice.
What influence the climate has on sport plans stays to be seen, however usually it’s simpler to run than throw within the snow.
Tua Downplays Snow in Buffalo: Tagovailoa is not involved about Saturday’s climate forecast: ‘It snowed in Alabama my first 12 months’ pic.twitter.com/xeUzv6kiCm
— FootBasket™.com (@FootBasket) December 15, 2022
It truly does snow in Alabama, however it will take years of accumulation to account for the quantity that’s anticipated in Western New York this weekend. However since Tua introduced it up, and since Tua likes to run sometimes, it’s noteworthy that his speeding yardage over/underneath is 5 1/2 whereas Allen’s is 46 1/2. Tua has rushed for not less than 6 yards in three video games, considered one of which was final week towards the Chargers when he had 28 on three carries. Heck, he may have the ability to slide for six yards if the weatherman is right.
Dolphins practising of their indoor facility right this moment with AC blasting as chilly as it will go. Felt prefer it was within the 50s or low 60s.
Positively not Buffalo temperatures however higher prep than the 80 levels it at present is exterior in Miami Gardens.
— Cameron Wolfe (@CameronWolfe) December 14, 2022
Dolphins Historical past in Buffalo Climate
This sport at Highmark Stadium on Saturday evening will mark the fifth time in seven seasons the Dolphins play at Buffalo past Dec. 1. They’re driving a three-game dropping streak in such contests.
On Jan. 3, 2021, the Dolphins wanted a win to get into the playoffs and have been dealing with a group whose playoff seeding already had been decided. The Dolphins have been blown out 56-26 that day in a sport they led 3-0 after the primary quarter. That’s earlier than the Payments scored 28 second-quarter factors. Tagovailoa handed for 361 yards in that sport, however was picked off thrice.
The final Dolphins group to make the playoffs was capable of win at Buffalo in December, 2016, 34-31, in time beyond regulation after Andrew Franks made a 55-yard area aim on the finish of regulation. Three of the Dolphins’ six 200-yard particular person speeding performances within the common season have are available December video games at Buffalo, and the franchise file for speeding yards in a sport is 228 set by Ricky Williams in Buffalo on Dec. 1, 2002.
The speeding yardage over/underneath for Miami’s prime working again, Raheem Mostert, is 49 1/2, a complete he has reached solely 5 instances this season. The 30-year-old, an eighth 12 months veteran, has by no means performed an NFL sport in Buffalo.
The Payments’ Devin Singletary has an over/underneath of 42 1/2, a quantity he has surpassed eight instances with a season-high of 72. For many who imagine a floor sport is the one sort of sport that may work, parlaying speeding yardage overs looks as if the way in which to go. For many who count on the sudden, just like the fourth kickoff or punt return for a TD within the NFL this season, Buffalo’s protection/particular groups is +450 at Draft Kings to attain the primary TD, and kick returner Nyheim Hines is +750 to attain the primary TD, Miami’s Cedric Wilson, who returns punts, is +800 for the primary TD.
The .longest odds are +2500 on Freddie Swain and Tanner Conner, which we might advocate staying distant from. Conner is a rookie tight finish who has but to catch a go for Miami, and Swain was signed off the Dolphins’ follow squad two days in the past by the Broncos and can be taking part in in Denver towards the Cardinals on Sunday afternoon if he’s activated. There are dangerous beats and there are dangerous bets. This one is the latter. We want neither on y’all.
A missed 29 yard area aim and two turnovers on downs in area aim vary what an unbelievably dangerous beat Dolphins -3.5 pic.twitter.com/hHGbrK3b5I
— Vinny Martino (@vinnymartino3) November 6, 2022
